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DOI:http://dx.doi.org/10.26855/jamc.2020.09.004

Effect of Lockdown and Isolation to Suppress the COVID-19 in Bangladesh: An Epidemic Compartments Model

Md. Shahidul Islam1, Jannatun Irana Ira1, K. M. Ariful Kabir2.3, Md. Kamrujjaman1,4,*

1Department of Mathematics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh.

2Interdisciplinary Graduate School of Engineering Sciences, Kyushu University, Japan.

3Department of Mathematics, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka, Bangladesh.

4Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada.

*Corresponding author: Md. Kamrujjaman

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Date: August 12,2020 Hits: 440, How to cite this paper

Abstract

In the promptness of the COVID-19 outbreak, it would be very important to observe and estimate the pattern of diseases to reduce the contagious infection. To study this effect, we developed a COVID-19 analytical epidemic framework that combines with isolation and lockdown effect by incorporating five various groups of individuals. Then we analyze the model by evaluating the equilibrium points and analyzing their stability as well as determining the basic reproduction number. The extensive numerical simulations show the dynamics of a different group of the population over time. Thus, our findings based on the sensitivity analysis and the reproduction number highlight the role of outbreak of the virus that can be useful to avoid a massive collapse in Bangladesh and rest of the world. The outcome of this study concludes that outbreak will be in control which ensures the social and economic stability.

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Effect of Lockdown and Isolation to Suppress the COVID-19 in Bangladesh: An Epidemic Compartments Model
How to cite this paper: Md. Shahidul Islam, Jannatun Irana Ira, K. M. Ariful Kabir, Md. Kamrujjaman. (2020) Effect of Lockdown and Isolation to Suppress the COVID-19 in Bangladesh: An Epidemic Compartments Model. Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computation, 4(3), 83-93.
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.26855/jamc.2020.09.004

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